AMAT
APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DENasdaqMarket price sits 79% above base IV/share — no margin of safety.
This is the middle-of-the-road view: Applied Materials rides the current wave of AI chip factory construction to another very strong year — after already growing sales every year since 2023 and hitting a record quarter this spring — then settles into steadier, slower growth as the building boom levels off, while keeping the unusually high profitability per sale it is earning right now.
Scouting report
OvervaluedA one-glance read on valuation, conviction, and risk.
Price is above even the bull case.
Base case $115.94 vs $546.62 price.
Source: base case IV vs market price
Confidence — bear: low, base: medium, bull: low.
Source: research confidence per case
Valued today.
Source: valuation run date
Net debt of $154M (0.0% of market cap).
Source: base inputs + market cap
Bear-to-bull spread is 67.1% of the base case.
Source: bear/bull dispersion
Composed from the published valuation · price as of 2026-08-05 — educational, not investment advice.
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