AMD
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INCNasdaqMarket price sits 79% above base IV — no margin of safety.
This scenario assumes AMD roughly delivers what Wall Street and its own management expect: the very large AI chip orders from customers like OpenAI, Meta and Microsoft ramp up over the next two years, extending the 35%-plus sales growth of the last few quarters before it gradually settles down, while profit on each dollar of sales roughly doubles from today's level.
Scouting report
OvervaluedA one-glance read on valuation, conviction, and risk.
Price is above even the bull case.
Base case $113.48 vs $485.39 price.
Source: base case IV vs market price
Confidence — bear: medium, base: medium, bull: low.
Source: research confidence per case
Valued 1 day ago, but newer filings have since published.
Source: valuation run date
Net cash of $2.4B (0.3% of market cap).
Source: base inputs + market cap
Bear-to-bull spread is 172.1% of the base case.
Source: bear/bull dispersion
Composed from the published valuation · price as of 2026-07-31 — educational, not investment advice.
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