ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC
Nasdaq: AMD·Santa Clara, California·CIK 0000002488
- Price
- $504.20
- Base IV
- $33.52
- Your value
- $33.52
- -93.4%
Valuation snapshot
Price is above even the bull case. Price as of Sep 16, 2026 · Valuation Aug 12, 2026.
Track record
Reported financials are not available yet.
Why the gap?
No revenue growth rate in a sensible range reproduces today's price — the market appears to be valuing something this model does not capture.
Assumed here
+20.6%
researched base case, grounded in filings and guidance
Many combinations of assumptions reproduce the same price. These are ways to read what the market might expect, not its actual view.
Your valuation
Four judgments stand between the filing and a number. Audit them one at a time and leave with a valuation that is yours.
- 01 Revenue growth32.0%
- 02 Operating margin24.0%
- 03 Risk and beta2.49
- 04 Long-run growth2.8%
About 4 minutes · no account needed
What drives the base case
All three cases →AMD's latest growth is broad, but Data Center is doing most of the heavy lifting. This case assumes EPYC processors and Instinct accelerators keep gaining business while Client and Embedded contribute steadier growth. Better product mix gradually improves profitability, although substantial research and supply investment remains necessary.
What shapes the assumptions
No structured value drivers are attached to this valuation yet.
How confident is this estimate?
Quality checksSome of any gap to the price is model uncertainty rather than real disagreement. Start with the weakest components.
- Scenario dispersion3.2
- Terminal-value dependency4.0
- Historical stability5.1
- Margin predictability7.2
Why the number moved
Sequential bridgeThe base case moved from $113.48 to $33.52 as filings, assumptions, and market inputs changed.
- Revenue forecast—
- Operating-margin assumption—
- Tax-rate assumption—
- Reinvestment assumption—
- Terminal-growth assumption—
Base estimate
$33.52 -93.4%