BRK-B

BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY INCNYSE

Market price sits 44% above base IV — no margin of safety.

This scenario assumes Berkshire grows roughly in step with the U.S. economy — a modest pickup from the flat sales of 2024 and 2025, echoing the small increase in early 2026 — with steady profits from insurance, the railroad, utilities and interest on its very large cash pile.

$511.10
price
$288.17
base IV

Scouting report

Overvalued

A one-glance read on valuation, conviction, and risk.

Price is above even the bull case.

Valuation upside-43.7%

Base case $288.17 vs $511.54 price.

Source: base case IV vs market price

Convictionmoderate

Confidence — bear: medium, base: medium, bull: low.

Source: research confidence per case

Freshness1 day ago

Valued 1 day ago.

Source: valuation run date

Balance sheet

No net cash figure.

Source: base inputs + market cap

Range$178.43 → $419.91

Bear-to-bull spread is 83.8% of the base case.

Source: bear/bull dispersion

Composed from the published valuation · price as of 2026-08-03 — educational, not investment advice.

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For research and educational use only. Valuation estimates are not financial advice.