CSCO

CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.Nasdaq

Market price sits 64% above base IV/share — no margin of safety.

This scenario follows what most Wall Street analysts currently expect: Cisco keeps growing at a healthy single-digit pace for a couple of years as AI data-center orders and a wave of office-network upgrades roll through, then settles back toward steady, modest growth while keeping profitability near the record level it just hit.

$115.86
price
$41.71
base IV/share

Scouting report

Overvalued

A one-glance read on valuation, conviction, and risk.

Price is above even the bull case.

Valuation upside-65.7%

Base case $41.71 vs $121.74 price.

Source: base case IV vs market price

Convictionmoderate

Confidence — bear: medium, base: medium, bull: low.

Source: research confidence per case

Freshnesstoday

Valued today.

Source: valuation run date

Balance sheetNet debt $15.8B

Net debt of $15.8B (3.3% of market cap).

Source: base inputs + market cap

Range$24.62 → $66.50

Bear-to-bull spread is 100.4% of the base case.

Source: bear/bull dispersion

Composed from the published valuation · price as of 2026-08-05 — educational, not investment advice.

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