INTEL CORP
Nasdaq: INTC·Santa Clara, California·CIK 0000050863
- Price
- $97.14
- Base IV
- $1.92
- Your value
- $1.92
- -98.0%
Valuation snapshot
Price is above even the bull case. Price as of Sep 16, 2026 · Valuation Aug 13, 2026.
Track record
Reported financials are not available yet.
Why the gap?
At $97.14 the market is pricing INTEL CORP as if revenue grows 89.4% a year. This valuation assumes it grows 10.3% a year. That single disagreement accounts for most of the distance between the two numbers — which makes it the first thing worth auditing.
Implied by price
+89.4%
revenue growth a year, holding everything else researched
Assumed here
+10.3%
researched base case, grounded in filings and guidance
Many combinations of assumptions reproduce the same price. These are ways to read what the market might expect, not its actual view.
Your valuation
Four judgments stand between the filing and a number. Audit them one at a time and leave with a valuation that is yours.
- 01 Revenue growth18.0%
- 02 Operating margin18.0%
- 03 Risk and beta2.24
- 04 Long-run growth2.5%
About 4 minutes · no account needed
What drives the base case
All three cases →Intel's revenue fell every year from 2022 to 2025, dropping from $79 billion to $53 billion, but the last two quarters broke that streak, with the most recent quarter up 25% and the company guiding to more growth ahead. The engine is data-center and AI chips, which grew 59% last quarter, while the PC business grew a steadier 13%. The big drag is the factory arm, which lost $2.1 billion in the quarter — management says it needs only a few billion dollars of outside customer revenue to break even, and this case assumes it roughly gets there. Growth then settles into the high single digits as the AI surge matures, profitability recovers meaningfully, and heavy but no longer accelerating factory spending absorbs a substantial share of the cash generated.
What shapes the assumptions
No structured value drivers are attached to this valuation yet.
How confident is this estimate?
Quality checksSome of any gap to the price is model uncertainty rather than real disagreement. Start with the weakest components.
- Scenario dispersion0.0
- Terminal-value dependency0.0
- Historical stability7.8
- Margin predictability0.0
Why the number moved
Sequential bridgeThe base case moved from $2.04 to $1.92 as filings, assumptions, and market inputs changed.
- Revenue forecast—
- Tax-rate assumption—
- Reinvestment assumption—
- Discount rate—
Base estimate
$1.92 -98.0%