MU

MICRON TECHNOLOGY INCNasdaq

Market price sits 54% above base IV/share — no margin of safety.

This scenario assumes Micron's sales keep climbing steeply for another year or so as AI data centers soak up every memory chip available, then cool off as rival factories come online and prices ease, leaving a business far larger and more profitable than before the AI boom but no longer earning the record profits it collects today.

$873.29

price

$404.96

base IV/share

Scouting report

Above fair value

A one-glance read on valuation, conviction, and risk.

Price is between the base and bull case.

Valuation upside-53.6%

Base case $404.96 vs $873.29 price.

Source: base case IV vs market price

Convictionmoderate

Confidence — bear: medium, base: medium, bull: low.

Source: research confidence per case

Freshnesstoday

Valued today.

Source: valuation run date

Balance sheetNet debt $1.6B

Net debt of $1.6B (0.2% of market cap).

Source: base inputs + market cap

Range$117.59 → $1,041.79

Bear-to-bull spread is 228.2% of the base case.

Source: bear/bull dispersion

Composed from the published valuation — educational, not investment advice.

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Financials

Reported quarters with derived margins, cash flow, and net cash.

Intrinsic Value

Auto-researched bear/base/bull cases with full provenance.