/Screener/PANW
Sign in

Palo Alto Networks Inc

Nasdaq: PANW·Santa Clara, California·

Price
$396.25
Base IV
$24.90
Your value
$24.90
-93.7%

Valuation snapshot

Above bull caseOut of date
$396.25
price, off scale
$24.90
base IV/share
Bear $11.11Bull $49.21

Price is above even the bull case. Price as of Oct 2, 2026 · Valuation Aug 24, 2026.

Researched bygpt-5.6-sol

Track record

Reported financials are not available yet.

Why the gap?

No revenue growth rate in a sensible range reproduces today's price — the market appears to be valuing something this model does not capture.

Assumed here

+16.0%

researched base case, grounded in filings and guidance

Many combinations of assumptions reproduce the same price. These are ways to read what the market might expect, not its actual view.

Your valuation

Four judgments stand between the filing and a number. Audit them one at a time and leave with a valuation that is yours.

  • 01 Revenue growth20.0%
  • 02 Operating margin22.0%
  • 03 Risk and beta1.28
  • 04 Long-run growth3.0%
Build my valuation

About 4 minutes · no account needed

What drives the base case

All three cases →

PANW's underlying sales are still growing in the mid-teens, while contracted business and next-generation subscriptions are expanding faster. CyberArk and Chronosphere broaden the product set but temporarily depress reported profit through integration and accounting costs. This case assumes cross-selling and scale gradually outweigh those costs without requiring unusually strong market-share gains.

What shapes the assumptions

Each driver links a business metric to the forecast assumption it shapes — the basis for this case, not investment advice.

How confident is this estimate?

Quality checks
52/100Moderate

Some of any gap to the price is model uncertainty rather than real disagreement. Start with the weakest components.

  • Scenario dispersion2.3
  • Terminal-value dependency2.5
  • Historical stability7.2
  • Margin predictability6.5

Why the number moved

Sequential bridge

The base case moved from $38.20 to $24.90 as filings, assumptions, and market inputs changed.

  • Revenue forecast—
  • Operating-margin assumption—
  • Tax-rate assumption—
  • Reinvestment assumption—
  • Terminal-growth assumption—

Explore StockValuer's full research

All cases, evidence, value drivers, sensitivity, quality checks, and calculation detail.

Financials

Reported quarters with derived margins, cash flow, and net cash.

Methodology

How reported facts, researched judgments and deterministic math are kept apart.

Base estimate

$24.90 -93.7%

Build