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Uber Technologies, Inc

NYSE: UBER·San Francisco, California·

Price
$68.51
Base IV
$46.77
Your value
$46.77
-31.7%

Valuation snapshot

Above base caseOut of date
$68.51
price
$46.77
base IV/share
Bear $23.74Bull $79.02

Price is between the base and bull cases. Price as of Oct 1, 2026 · Valuation Aug 24, 2026.

Researched bygpt-5.6-sol

Track record

Reported financials are not available yet.

Why the gap?

At $68.51 the market is pricing Uber Technologies, Inc as if revenue grows 20.3% a year. This valuation assumes it grows 11.0% a year. That single disagreement accounts for most of the distance between the two numbers — which makes it the first thing worth auditing.

Implied by price

+20.3%

revenue growth a year, holding everything else researched

Assumed here

+11.0%

researched base case, grounded in filings and guidance

Or, growth held

28.8%

operating margin reproduces the price, vs 20.0% assumed

Many combinations of assumptions reproduce the same price. These are ways to read what the market might expect, not its actual view.

Your valuation

Four judgments stand between the filing and a number. Audit them one at a time and leave with a valuation that is yours.

  • 01 Revenue growth13.0%
  • 02 Operating margin20.0%
  • 03 Risk and beta1.15
  • 04 Long-run growth2.5%
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What drives the base case

All three cases →

Uber's customer count, trips, bookings, and profits are all rising, even though accounting changes have held back reported sales growth. The base case assumes those demand trends continue while advertising, delivery scale, and shared platform costs improve profit per transaction. Growth fades gradually as the company becomes larger and its markets mature.

What shapes the assumptions

Each driver links a business metric to the forecast assumption it shapes — the basis for this case, not investment advice.

How confident is this estimate?

Quality checks
53/100Moderate

Some of any gap to the price is model uncertainty rather than real disagreement. Start with the weakest components.

  • Scenario dispersion4.1
  • Terminal-value dependency2.0
  • Historical stability4.2
  • Margin predictability8.7

Why the number moved

Sequential bridge

The base case moved from $54.98 to $46.77 as filings, assumptions, and market inputs changed.

  • Revenue forecast—
  • Operating-margin assumption—
  • Tax-rate assumption—
  • Reinvestment assumption—
  • Discount rate—

Explore StockValuer's full research

All cases, evidence, value drivers, sensitivity, quality checks, and calculation detail.

Financials

Reported quarters with derived margins, cash flow, and net cash.

Methodology

How reported facts, researched judgments and deterministic math are kept apart.

Base estimate

$46.77 -31.7%

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